GW Points: 30
Overall Points: 30
Overall Rank: 435,594
I wanted to get the first game week review out quickly as I think there are a lot of points for discussion. I was very happy with my start after the opening game on Friday but things quickly went downhill from there. Overall I’m really disappointed with 30 points from the first weekend of fixtures. There were a lot of 50/50 decisions that went the wrong way and players who were in and out of my team that managed to pick up decent point totals. Given how important team value is going to be this year, I could easily make 5 transfers on Thursday evening but I’m probably going to have to be a little more reserved than that.
I wanted to start with a review of each player:
Ramsdale: solid performance, 8 points, will rise in value. Stays in my team.
Alexander-Arnold: bad performance from Liverpool, certain to lose value but should bounce back. Stays in my team.
Saliba: great performance, 8 points, will rise in value. Stays in my team.
Dalot: terrible performance, -1 point. I thought Man Utd would start the season well considering they have a new manager, but they were an embarrassment again. I fell into the trap of getting a 2.5m defender at a top club but the gamble didn’t pay off. Will probably leave in for another week as I’ve got bigger issues to resolve.
Mahrez: benched, 0 points. This was the icing on the cake for an awful Sunday. Everything pointed to Mahrez starting this game and I wanted some City coverage. I thought he was good value at 5.5m considering he always scores over 200 points. Really annoyed to see him on the bench considering Foden hadn’t had many minutes preseason. He then comes on late on, meaning he will drop in value. No guarantee that he will even start against Bournemouth either. Huge problem at such an early stage.
Saka: average performance, 2 points. May drop slightly in value but probably worth holding onto for now.
Coutinho: bad performance for Villa, 0 points. Will drop in value. If it wasn’t for the Carabao Cup fixture later on in the month, I’d be moving on from him already, I’m still tempted to take him out regardless as he might not even play in the cup.
Sancho: bad performance, 0 points. Will drop in value. The only positive I can take from the game was that Man Utd improved when Ronaldo came on. Based on the preseason Sancho had and the new manager, I expected much more from Sancho in this fixture, as did many others. Another one I’d be happy to transfer out if there weren’t so many games left in August.
Salah: OK performance, 8 points. 8 points is probably enough at this stage to hold his value. I won’t be taking him out of my team either way.
Kane: four goals for Spurs but no goals for Kane, 3 points. Will drop in value. This one feels slightly unlucky, on other day Kane could have had a couple of goals in this fixture. Not helped by Haaland getting a brace against West Ham. I couldn’t decide between the two of them and it was one of those 50/50 decisions that has already gone against me. With Haaland certain to rise in value and Kane certain to drop, I’ll probably swap the two over on Thursday evening. I prefer City’s fixture against Bournemouth rather than Spurs playing Chelsea. I just hope that Haaland doesn’t face any rotation.
Jesus: OK performance, 3 points. Played well but didn’t get a goal. Could drop slightly in value but no need to transfer out at this stage.
I’d taken note of a few performances from over the weekend and wanted to highlight a few players:
Haaland – got off to the start I didn’t want him to make. Looks like I’ll have to bring him in.
Kulusevski – was in and out of my team, decided not to go for him in the end due to the risk of rotation. Didn’t expect him to pick up the star man and 15 points in the very first fixture of the season. Ironically, had I stuck with Haaland and Kulusevski, I’d have made a very good start to the season. It’s these fine margins that often define a season and this one could have gone either way.
Zinchenko – caught the eye in the opening fixture. Personally think Saliba deserved the star man award more but it wasn’t to be. Either way, I can see Zinchenko having a good season. Probably won’t bring him in immediately as I wouldn’t want to triple up with Arsenal defenders.
Nunez – I was glad to see him on the bench and annoyed when he came on for 10 points. I thought Jesus was the better pick but Nunez is now likely to increase in value but we can’t make kneejerk changes based on 1 fixture.
Trippier – I didn’t want Newcastle to keep a clean sheet with Trippier having high ownership. He went on to pick up 8 points. Hopefully it doesn’t last.
Ake – another defender I was hoping wouldn’t keep a clean sheet. Man City now have good fixtures on the horizon. One to watch as I’m not sure how long he will retain his place for.
Mbeumo – another player who was on the cusp of making my starting 11. Didn’t do an awful lot today but 3 points is enough for a 2m midfielder.
Sterling/Diaz/Bowen/Romero/Cresswell – all players who will drop in value but I can see them doing well this season. I don’t own any of them so I’m hoping they drop further next week.
Plan for Game Week 2
I could easily make a case for making 5 transfers on Thursday evening. Team value is going to be vital this season as we can effectively reset our teams during the World Cup. The problem with this approach is that August is a fairly long month. We could find that making knee jerk transfers could result in use constantly chasing points and team value but not getting very far. As an example, Kulusevski would be an obvious player to bring in, however what if he blanks this weekend and then starts to face rotation during the rest of the month? After every week we are inevitably going to be holding players who are likely to drop in value. With limited transfers, we simply can’t take every player out who’s looking likely to lose value.
Having said that, I’m probably going to swap Kane for Haaland on Thursday evening. With Kane certain to drop and Haaland certain to rise, it just makes sense with Haaland also having a better fixture at the weekend.
This will leave me with 0.5m to play with. The temptation is certainly there to swap Coutinho or Sancho for Kulusevski to avoid the price drop. I’d also see Kulusevski as a better prospect longer term if he can keep his place in the team. I think he will face rotation at some point though. Food for thought though.
Another option could be to swap Mahrez for Kulusevski. This would then leave 2.5m to upgrade Dalot, Sancho or Coutinho. Haaland would then be my only City attacking cover, but if Mahrez isn’t going to get a huge amount of game time, it’s a decent improvement. This approach would create a domino effect though, as I’d then be tempted to use a third and maybe a fourth transfer to reinvest the funds left in the bank. At this stage, I don’t think it would be wise to use 4 transfers so early in August with 3 game weeks remaining. We are only 1 game week into the season and the situation could be very different this time next week so it’s probably wise not to hit the panic button just yet.
A final point for consideration is West Ham having 2 additional fixtures over the next two game weeks with their Europa Conference League Playoff fixtures. This could be a lottery in terms of team selection but Bowen is almost certain to drop in value, the big question is will he play in all four futures? I personally doubt it but it might be worth taking a punt on some West Ham coverage. If you really wanted to take a gamble, I can see Scamacca getting some game time but it would be a very brave move to take out a big name striker to accommodate him.
My Other Teams
At the start of the season, I was tempted to blog about two teams, in the end I thought this would become too complicated with so many different transfers across the month. However, I am going to include a small section at the end of each game week review that covers the progress of some of my other teams.
It’s worth noting that I don’t really enjoy the 10 team approach, I’m only interested in delivering a good performance with the team I blog about as that’s the only one that adds value to this community. I’d rather we were only allowed 1 team per player but that’s how the game is going. Most other players who discuss Dream Team online don’t put their name to one team and document the whole process. They tend to cover all bases by having 10 teams with a blend of all the players who are most likely to score well. They then use their best team across the season as their badge of honor at the end of the season. I don’t see much value in that, as it’s not how most people play the game but I’ll briefly cover how some of my other teams have performed.
My best team is on 62 points and it was picked on player ownership. It includes the likes of Ramsdale, Zinchenko, Trippier, Salah and Haaland.
I’ve then got a couple of teams within the 50 point bracket. These are both pretty much variations on my main team but the 50/50 choices went the other way. So I’ve gone for Haaland over Kane, etc.
If you’re interested in a full breakdown of my teams, they can be seen in the graphic below. Unfortunately, my blog team came in 9th out of my 10 teams but we are only 1 week in.
One final point to note, is that if you like to study the fixtures, I’ve set up my usual spreadsheet that tracks the top teams here https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1CJdq5SxZqrb7EXOpEBbCtbF0hDulMoL05ULja_ng5nY/
I’d also be very interested in hearing what other people are doing with their players who are likely to drop in value this week. Are you being aggressive with your transfers or holding fire because things are likely to change again within another week?