It’s safe to say the team hasn’t got off to the best of starts. I think the reasoning behind this has been well documented but we’ve been fairly unfortunate to date in my opinion. This has left us some way behind the leading pack and with a team not in great shape going into October.
The intention of this post is to gather some thoughts before making transfers, and give people who are following the team the opportunity to comment and suggest ideas before any transfers are made. Hopefully we can then collectively take the team forward in a way everyone is happy with, this should also eliminate any comments in hindsight regarding what we should have done.
Current team analysis
Foster – won’t score big points but is worth keeping as a cheaper option
Valencia – keep, performing well
Kompany – injured, has cost us a lot of points already. Replace if he’s not starting on 14th October. Which in my opinion he won’t be.
Ogbonna – not first choice. Should be replaced unless he’s starting on 14th October.
Pieters – question marks against this contribution to date but should be a regular starter for a mid table team. In an ideal world we replace but currently difficult to justify.
Salah – keep, performing well
Mkhitaryan – keep, performing well but slight doubts about his consistency
Eriksen – good option but difficult fixtures during October. In an ideal world I’d swap him for Hazard
Lukaku – keep, performing well
Kane – keep, performing well
Aguero – injured, needs replacing as I can’t see him being fit for 14th October
Priorities in terms of players who need replacing
Certain to need replacing (if not in starting line ups on 14th October):
No need to replace (at this stage):
Hopefully at this stage we all agree with the three players who need replacing. For me the defence is fairly logical to resolve:
Kompany out – Stones in (cheapest who is getting a regular game)
Ogbonna out – Baines in (good value)
This then leaves replacing Aguero. I think we’ve got two realistic options.
Jesus – like for like replacement hoping that Jesus is going to be the main goalscorer in Aguero’s absence.
Hazard – swap to 442 and bring in Hazard on the assumption that he’s going to come good in October with easier fixtures.
I believe the choice pretty much comes down to which player out of the two we believe will score more points in October. Both have good fixtures.
Plan of action
Both of the options below are on the assumption that neither Kompany, Aguero or Ogbonna make the starting line up on October 14th.
Option A (433)
Option B (442)
I think both options are an improvement and it’s nice to see a little bit left in the bank to play with. The difficulty is planning where we take the team long term. I’ve analysed each team separately:
– 1.5m in the bank would easily allow us to swap Eriksen for Hazard. Hopefully regardless of any price changes.
– We probably wouldn’t have enough in the bank to bring Aguero back in for Jesus.
– If we wanted Aguero back in at some point it would require more than one transfer.
– No Chelsea representation going forward.
– 1.2m in the bank means we might be able to bring Aguero in for Eriksen in November. Aguero’s price is likely to remain around the 7.3m mark. Should Eriksen’s price stay the same this would be a straightforward swap with nothing left in the bank.
– Stuck with 442 for the month. I’m not convinced Hazard will score more points than Jesus during October.
– No Man City representation going forward.
I really don’t like the idea of using up all three transfers at the start of the month. However if there’s no sign of Kompany and Ogbonna is benched again, it would be difficult to wait. It’s a huge risk but should Man City keep a clean sheet Stone’s value would rise again and equally Baines could rise in value. We would obviously run the risk of a major injury or suspension with no transfers left over but we might have to just go for it. If anyone disagrees, feel free to leave your comments below.
I’m completely torn between the two options but feel this is a vital decision. I’ve been in this position a couple of times this season already and made my own choice. Based on some of the comments I’ve had, this time I’m opening it up for comments way before the transfer is made. Hopefully we can reach a decision collectively. As a result leave your comments below regarding which option you prefer, equally feel free to suggest any other alternative transfers.